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About First Derivative

The world doesn't move in headlines. It moves in situations. First Derivative tracks 100,000 articles daily, models 2,000+ events, and surfaces the situations that actually matter — with structured analysis of what's happening, why, and what comes next. HOW IT WORKS — 100,000 articles → 2,000+ events modelled → 20+ situations tracked — Every situation built from structured events, not summarised headlines — Every event broken down: what, who, when, where, why WHAT YOU GET — Live situational feed across geopolitics, markets, and risk — Forward-looking scenarios with probability-weighted outcomes — System dynamics modeling of cause and effect — Global risk radar: momentum, instability, surprise, system pressure — 14-day free trial, no account required Powered by Karma-32B, a Large Event Model built for structured intelligence. Built for investors, analysts, and decision-makers who need context, not noise. No account. No tracking. No noise. Privacy Policy: https://firstderivative.news/privacy Terms of Use: https://firstderivative.news/terms

What’s new

Version 1.0.5 · Updated September 10, 2026

14-day free trial — full analytics access from first launch, no account required. Polymarket integration — prediction markets alongside situational analysis, powered by a non-custodial wallet via Privy. Follow situations and events — get notified when situations you follow develop. Improved scenario display with clearer forward-looking analysis and probability-weighted outcomes. Improved 24-hour change detection across situations. Credits system — unlock individual situation analyses without a subscription. Bug fixes and performance improvements.

App privacy

The developer, Edvard Bjarnason, reported these privacy practices to Apple.

Data Not Collected

The developer does not collect any data from this app.

Alternatives to First Derivative

Looking for apps like First Derivative? Here are 6 similar apps on the App Store. The highest rated is World Monitor: Live Insights (5.0/5), and all 6 are free to download.

First Derivative vs. alternatives
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