オッズ推定機　ライト

About オッズ推定機　ライト

It is an application that you can easily estimate the odds of other ticket types just by entering the winning odds of 1-3 finishes and the number of heads.
Estimate the odds of each typical ticket type for winning odds from past race data.
Calculates probabilities based on mathematical theory and displays various odds, but you don't need to know any difficult theory!

References (excerpt)
* Stern, H. (1990). Models for distributions on permutations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 85 (410), 558-564.
* Lo, V.S., Bacon-Shone, J., & Busche, K. (1995). The application of ranking probability models to racetrack betting. Management Science, 41 (6), 1048-1059.
* Kosuke Ito. (2010). Statistical model of the probability of hitting a double-winning betting ticket based on the position of technical analysis. Bulletin of Amusement Industry Research Institute, Osaka University of Commerce, (12), 301-320.

☆ The actual odds are higher than the estimated odds → Selling in a win
★ Actual odds are higher than estimated odds → Selling other than wins
Which betting ticket is the best deal?
It is possible to reliably judge such a situation.

There is a word "odds theory", but most of them are "observations" of odds, not "theory" on which this app is based.
Please use a prediction support tool based on a solid theory, not a dubious prediction theory.
It's easy to use, but it's explained in this article. Details about the calculations are also given in this article. https://leisurely1.blog.jp/archives/32161032.html


Many horse racing prediction information sites advertise (at least in my eyes) with an emphasis on winning horses.
However, when seriously investigated, almost all research and research on the development of algorithms to exceed 100% recovery is the subject of "odds analysis". In a sense, that's not surprising, because even if you can quantify a horse's ability, performance in the race is probabilistic, depending on accidental factors, and even more likely to win. However, if it becomes more popular than that, it is easy to imagine that it is "pear" in terms of betting tickets. (Unless there is insider information, if any)

And while statistical analysis-based (artificial intelligence) prediction algorithms can have a recovery of over 100%, you can only buy a lot of races and have a little over 100% skill. There is none. If auto-voting wasn't very major, a relatively simple strategy could have made a lot of profits (such as a British investor group), but now many groups and individuals come from the same odds pool. You're trying to make a profit, so you're probably competing for a pie.
If you can afford hundreds of millions of yen, you can still buy many races and make a certain profit, but it will be difficult for one hobby level individual to realize the effect because the probability does not converge. If you have a lot of money in the first place, you should invest properly.

This app is designed to be an app that even a hobby-level betting ticket purchaser can experience "what they are doing in odds analysis" and reflect it in their predictions even at the individual level. It is a hobby.



* This is a free version. Win + 5%, Maren + 5%, Popularity Concentration, Plus 10 None, JRA Super Premium functions cannot be used.
* Win + 5%, Maren + 5%, Popularity Concentration, Plus 10 None, JRA Super Premium functions are available, and there is also a paid version with no ads.
Click here https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=jpleisurely1.livedoor.blog.odds_estimator

* The privacy policy of this application is as follows.
https://leisurely1.blog.jp/archives/37663927.html